Saturday, November 30, 2013

Turkey Day Weekend "To The Pain" Pick' Em 'Stravaganza


DANIMAL PICKS

The last 3 weeks have been pretty good to Danimal who is 6-3 vs Mark’s 3-6, enabling the non-tattooed one to get within 2 games. (Dan is 20-18-1; Mark is 22-17).
Oooh…rivalry week! Listen, I apologize for last week’s slackishness. I will make up for it today, promise.

You want picks you greedy bastards…I’ll give ya picks!

Va Tech -13 at UVA, a.k.a. The Commonwealth Cup (3:30 p.m. EST)
The Hokies have won the last nine Cups, and 16 of the last 20 – a pretty nice stretch. This was a game I used to attend during my college and just out of college days. I remember Buckles attending one with me. My oldest sister lived there and was a season ticket holder with her assfaced husband, since divorced. Hi Keith. Dick. We ran out of beer or bourbon, or both at the tailgate. Don’t judge me, we were young and very poor. My sister’s good buddy Bill had scotch. So we drank it. Mixed it with a little water and a coupla rocks. Dewar’s if not mistaken. Buckles & I ended up crashing at Bill’s house. Bill liked to party. Hi Bill. Miss you.

Sorry, got off track there. So, Tech was a major disappointment this year. They played a great deal of uninspired football led by their super inconsistent quarterback Logan Thomas. And Frank Beamer – the man will, deservedly so, have a statue outside of their stadium at some point, but it’s time big guy. Time for you to pack up all your turkey calls and get on with your version of Duck Dynasty, kay fella?  With losses to Duke, Maryland, and Boston College, why on earth would anyone pick you while giving away nearly 2 touchdowns to UVa, a team that hates you as much as you hate them, and a game that takes place in daVille? Well, I’ll tell you why! Because the Cavaliers have one of the worst teams in big boy football. They are 2-9 overall and 0-7 in the conference, the ACC.  They don’t crack the top 100 in offense. Or Defense. WOMP WOMP! That is an unenviable position to be in going against a ginormous rival, who by the way has one of the best defenses in the country and will never ever tire of beating the Cavs. Oh, and playing in Charlottesville is about as scary as the haunted house in your kid’s kindergarten class, that is unless your entire team is allergic to the scent of chardonnay and gruyere. Lastly, you and your team NEVER play uninspired football against those douche nozzles from Vuhginia. And you won’t this time. You and your team, and your coach-in-waiting Bud Foster, the super Defensive Coordinator that he is, are going to put the smother on the Wahoos. Now go out there and get’r done, Frank. GET TA STEPPIN!
GOBBLE GOBBLE GOBBLE! – Tech by 24

Notre Dame +14 at Stanford (7:00 p.m. EST)
I know this doesn’t quite go with Rivalry Week, but it’s the last regular season game of the year so I felt compelled to give you another Irish pick. I’m sure that makes several of you very happy, especially Zman. And TR. And Mark. And Rob. And Clarence. And that guy Whitney that used to hang out here. Yeah I know, it’ll make you happy when they lose. The likelihood of that is very good so until then carry on with your piss poor attitudes. Likelihood in this instance is defined as a 4 out of 5 chance. That’s 80% for you short on the math skeelz.

In August, I was counting this game as a definite loss. Now I think it’s a very likely loss but with possibilities. It hinges on you-know-who. Will “Touchdown Tommy” show up or “Tommy Turnover”. If the former, they keep it at least competitive and maybe even pull a shamrock out of their arses. With Stanford’s very solid running D, I’d guess that we’ll see a good # of Rees to TE Troy Niklas shorter routes. Niklas is a 6’7” TE who actually went to ND to be a lineman. And on the running side, true freshman and one of Mark’s old neighbors Tarean Folston is turning into what most predicted as one of the top 3 backs coming out of high school – bad-ass. Each week he gets more and more comfortable. He only has 347 yards on the season but 231 of those have come in November on 35 carries (6.6 yards – keep your calculator in your pocket).

On D, ND MUST get to the QB, Kevin Hogan, who by the way will have a chip on his shoulder because he wanted an offer from ND coming out of high school. The man that will be counted on to do so is future 1st rounder Stephon Tuitt. Hopefully he won’t have some bullshit targeting penalty like he had called early in the 2nd quarter against Pitt. Seriously, that was a horrific call. And Tuitt will need another true frosh to make a play or two – Jaylon Smith who like Folston, has made some big time plays over the last few weeks. Stanford is beatable – just ask USC & Utah.
Irish Cover

IRON BOWL!!!!
Bama -10.5 at Auburn! (3:30 p.m.)
A 10.5 favorite, on the road, against another Top 5 team. Hmmm.
This is going to be fun. With my #superdad feats of last weekend, guess who gets to watch college football for the better part of Saturday? (I failed to complain to GTB’rs on Sunday that I was solo w/all 3 while my wife and mother-in-law went to a “movie” that had her out of the house for 4 hours and 45 minutes, approximately) I probably shouldn’t get too far ahead of myself though – this could change at a moment’s notice. Wife now talking about getting tree and decorations up a week earlier this year for a few reasons yada yad yada. I will go into fetal position if that happens.

Let’s breakitdown!

Bama: #1 Defense. Aub: #2 Rushing Offense. Both near identical in total scoring. Auburn has two nice ball carriers, one of which is their QB Nick Marshall who averages 6.7 yards a carry. He’s their 2nd leading rusher. Tre Mason has 1100+ yards and averages 5.5 yards per carry. It’s the running QB that is going to help open things up a wee bit, that is IF he doesn’t fumble  (cautionary note for Auburn leaners – Marshall has fumbled the ball 10 times this year).
LSU manhandled Auburn – the 2 TD margin was much better than it looked. Howevah, Auburn played a shit game on the road and in terrible weather. They lost the turnover margin and botched an attempted punt deep in their own territory which translated to a quick TD. And 2 of their other 3 turnovers also led to TD’s. In looking at Bama’s win against A&M, A&M also lost the turnover battle – one of which led to a 14-point swing with a short INT in Bama’s end zone. Whoops. Something tells me Gus and his fellow coaches have been preaching the turnover thing this week, a lot.  So….here is what I am betting on – I am betting on Auburn breaking even or winning the turnover thing, and thus covering the line. IF they get to +2 on turnovers, I say they win. But like they say, if my aunt had balls she’d be my uncle. And by the way, which aunt are they talking about when the say that? Very confusing.
WAR EAGLE!!!!



MARK PICKS

We're at the end of the College Football regular season already? It would appear so. Usually I'd be bummed out that we'd already reached the end of the road. However, this is one College Football season chart I'm happy to see end. I can only take watching Florida's anemic offense so much before I snap. Fortunately for you, there's a good chance I'll snap today while watching Florida State run roughshod over my alma mater on their home field. Will I watch today's game with the faintest glimmer of hope that a miracle could occur? Yes. Will I likely give up this hope by halftime and head to the gym to take out my frustrations? Absolutely. Listen, there are a number of other games worth watching today. It just so happens that Florida-Florida State isn't one of them.  Anyway, on to the picks.

Ohio State @ Michigan +17.5
Michigan has been a colossal disappointment this year. They might be the only high profile team ranked in the preseason who has an offensive line that could rival the ineptitude of Florida. On top of that, first year QB Devin Gardner has been something beyond turnover prone. Turnover friendly? Turnover loving? Whatever. He turns the ball over a ton. On the other hand, Urban Meyer is doing what he always does during his second year at a new school. He's turning his team into a killing machine. Ohio State still has some holes on defense and their passing game comes and goes but they are far and away the class of the Big Ten. I think the Buckeyes are far better than Michigan but I can't quite convince myself to lay 17.5 on the road in a historic rivalry game. Go Blue.

Duke +5.5 @ North Carolina
Duke is in the midst of it's best season in, well, nearly forever. Duke hasn't been this good since before Steve Spurrier led them to three straight bowl games in the late 80s. North Carolina would like nothing more than to knock off the Blue Devils at home and earn some redemption for themselves in a season that's been somewhat of a disappointment. The Tarheels are on a roll of late, having won their last five games and absolutely embracing Old Dominion last week in a game that featured a 10 minute fourth quarter. There's a chance that Carolina pulls the upset here but either way the game's too close to give up 5.5 points. Take the Devils.

Kansas State -17 @ Kansas
This isn't quite the first game that comes to mind when someone mentions rivalry weekend. It is, however, a rivalry. A rivalry that often means more on the basketball court? Yes. But a rivalry nonetheless. Kansas has been garbage all year. Notching just on Big 12 win in a 31-19 home win against West Virginia. And while Kansas State isn't exactly a wrecking ball, they're still very much a tough, disciplined Bill Snyder type of football team. 17 points is a lot to lay on the road in a rivalry game but I'm confident that Charlie Weis and the Jayhawks can suck enough to make it worth it. Take the Wildcats and their awful, awful mascot for the win.

119 comments:

zman said...

They drive for'n cars in Alabama?

rob said...

mark couldn't convince himself to lay 17.5 on the road in a rivalry game, but he could convince himself to lay 17. the power of the hook.

Mark said...

The Kansas State-Iowa State graphic confuses me. But I just got my picks in 45 minutes ago so I'll be quiet.

Mark said...

Also the power of Charlie Weis led football teams.

Mark said...

Inspired play from the Florida defense so far. It's too and the offense is so useless because the D will wear down eventually at this rate.

T.J. said...

yep - that farmageddon image makes no sense, but what the hell, we'll just leave it up

rob said...

i love watching a well-run option play.

Mark said...

Trey Burton is out for the day. His career at Florida is over. That makes 18 starters or part time starters out for this game for Florida.

Clarence said...

A few Buckeyes and Wolverines done for the day, too. Anybody see that tussle?

Mark said...

Excuse me. The number is 19 as starting CB Marcus Roberson is out for his third straight game today.

rob said...

yeah, clarence, that was quite a football fight.

Mark said...

Thanks for the effort, Florida. It was fun while it lasted.

Mark said...

I did too, Clarence. I also saw the Ohio State player go double bird on the Michigan crowd as he left the field. I like it.

Mark said...

This is about what I expected. Florida came out inspired but the D is wearing down now. Things are gonna get ugly in the second half.

Mark said...

I'll definitely get one prediction right today. Heading to the gym at halftime!

mr kq said...

I find gridiron fights quite comical. Throwing haymakers at helmeted opponents? Not so brilliant. Did enjoy the double solute though.



Clarence said...

Oh yes, Mark. I'm watching the game with my daughters. Hard for me to instill sportsmanship when I laugh out loud at the double birds.

mr kq said...

solute, salute, salut!

rob said...

clarence, just tell the girls that if they ever get kicked out of a game in the big house, they're allowed to do that. otherwise, no dice.

Clarence said...

Agree with Mr. KQ on the futility of punching a dude wearing a helmet, and I said this to my girls. One of them replied, "Well, Michigan was smarter, they ripped the guy's helmet off and then punched him." Uh, right you are, honey.

/proudpapa

Mark said...

Florida isn't going to be shutout!

T.J. said...

not really sure what this means for Howard hoops but admission to the game against the Tribe today is zero dollars
#PDiddyInvitational

mr kq said...

Cheers Clarence I shall drink a Dale's in your honor. And a Cigar City. And a Fat Tire Winter Accumulation.

Danimal, enjoying CFB or fetal position?

T.J. said...

my city, your city, Shoe City

mr kq said...

Intensity in 10 cities!

zman said...

No sideboob? Or even girls from large state schools?

Mark said...

Nice little game in Ann Arbor.

TR said...

Still struggling to get back up to speed after last night's mini-summit in Chatham. Zman, me, Sammy, Juan Carlos and Dr J drank in my living room from 9-145 AM. Did I have one drink of water over that time? Of course not.

TR said...

What's the spread gonna be on FSU-Duke? 35 Pts?

Danimal said...

Aaaahhhh....have had a nice bit of TV/football time with fam. Now I'm sans fam for more than 2.5 hours. Just cracked open a sweet water motor boat ale.

Mark said...

Like I said...nice little game in Ann Arbor.

TR said...

Love love love Hoke's decision to win the game.

TR said...

Oof

Danimal said...

Holy shit....I am a fan of Hoke, regardless of how this ends.

Danimal said...

That sucks.

mr kq said...

Bummer. Nobody really open in that triple stack look.

rob said...

free basketball!

Danimal said...

A score here is kind of important.

Danimal said...

Scored too quickly.

Danimal said...

Will take it though

Danimal said...

I bet that tribe vs Howard game is awesome.

Mark said...

Auburn continues to be much, much better than I give them credit for.

Danimal said...

This is fun to watch. This is the most I have watched of auburn this year.

Danimal said...

Doh! Snap hook!

zman said...

Holy shit

Mark said...

Well then, Alabama. 99 fucking yards. Wow.

Danimal said...

Mark will probably disagree but hard not to like mccarron....

zman said...

The Jesus piece though.

Marls said...

Watching the Iron Bowl from the bar at the hotel Del Coronado with a Ron Z in hand. Other than the d-bag Californians, this would be just about perfect.

zman said...

I like that hotel. They gave us free champagne and strawberries because they thought zwoman and I were newlyweds.

Mark said...

I don't dislike McCarron. I'm kind of meh on him. Amari Cooper though? Love him.

Danimal said...

Way to go vatech.

Wow...nice stop auburn. Still a game.

Mark said...

Look at Auburn's D. Impressive. Can the offense come thru now?

TR said...

Can't wait to see the Bama kicker chunk another one.

Danimal said...

Nice day Mark. That hurts.

TR said...

Auburn punter just got trucked.

Danimal said...

There ya go tr....blocked or not that wasn't goin in...auburn still in it. Unreal.

zman said...

This game is nuts. 99 yarders, corkscrew FG, 4th down stuffs, blocked FG, what else can happen?

Danimal said...

Omg!

Danimal said...

How's that tribe Howard game?

Donna said...

Holy crap!!

zman said...

I guess that can happen.

zman said...

Why is the quarter over?

Mark said...

Nice call on the Bama kicker, TR.

The Iron Bowl is AWESOME.

Marls said...

Tough loss for TCU.

Mark said...

The last FG attempt hit the Bama OL in the helmet. Cade Foster should move to Europe.

zman said...

Get the fuck out

Danimal said...

UN FUCKING REAL....BEST GAME EVER

zman said...

I can't believe this game happened.

Mark said...

That might be the most amazing thing I've ever seen.

Danimal said...

UN fucking real. Had to say it again.

Marls said...

Chaos!!!!

Danimal said...

The shot of the young bama fan crying at his dad's side....had to laugh. I want to drive to auburn.

Mark said...

Auburn has to the greatest place on earth tonight.

TR said...

Agreed on fat crying redneck.

Too lazy to formulate the actual list, but that has to be one of the best college games I've ever seen. I think Saban lost that game as much as a Auburn won it.

Poor Cade Foster. The death threats are already on their way to him. Gonna be a fun night in Columbus.

When Michigan State beats OSU next weekend, which one-loss team gets into the BCS Championship?

zman said...

The Dodge Durango is probably the best SUV in its class but I couldn't buy one in light of those Ron Burgandy ads. It's the opposite of advertising.

mr kq said...

All fat guys on field for Bama on that last play.

Mark said...

Will deciding to try that FG go down as the worst decision in Nick Saban's career? Feels that way right now.

Mark said...

Saban didn't kick the FG on 4th down from 31 yards away and then used his backup kicker to try a 50+ yard FG. I agree TR. He bears much of the weight of this loss.

TR said...

If Auburn and MSU win next w/e, it will be Auburn in the championship game, right? Unbelievable turn of events.

TR said...

His second worst decision, Mark. The Dolphins stint is probably first, although it allowed him to become a FA (mid-season).

Marls said...

I dropped the Zname at the bar. No free booze love.

One of the greatest games ever and the reaction here, with the exception of a bald idiot from New York, was rather meh. SoCal sucks.

TR said...

Marls - I want to hear stories of you dancing around the bar like Rick Moranis at the end of My Blue Heaven, my all-time favorite Steve Martin gangster movie set in San Diego.

Mark said...

Every single Auburn fan is happy last year and 0-8 in the SEC happened. Don't get Malzahn and this season without it.

Mark said...

Disagree on the Miami decision. It got him to Bama which has made him a legend. I get your point though. Only major failure as a coach on his résumé.

Mark said...

Does Rob know what happened?

zman said...

I didn't know that Auburn was public.

zman said...

rob is elbows deep in CAA hoops which has to be more exiting than his game ... for a Bama fan.

Danimal said...

Malzahn = Ballzahn.

Speaking of Rob...can we get some tribe/Howard updates? Geesh.

Lumpy said...

Daniela do you have the pours handy on the bourbon milk punch?

Lumpy said...

Danimal. Sorry iPhone autocorrect

Danimal said...

You can go 3 oz of whole milk or a combination of half and half and whole milk....we just do whole milk.
2 oz bourbon
Couple drops of vanilla extract
Oz or so of simple syrup
Shake on ice. Pour over ice. Little nutmeg. Consume. Repeat.

Danimal said...

A great day in cfb. Too bad that 2 point conversion didn't pan out for Michigan.

Mark said...

Not over yet. 4 big games still to go. I'm gonna miss CFB so much. Not Florida Football but definitely the rest of it.

Mark said...

Manziel is still playing but looks unlike himself. Mildly concussed?

Lumpy said...

Oops pretty good but missed the vanilla. Will run trial #2 practice makes perfect

Lumpy said...

That's it. Now I need to double the recipe. Go cocks!

T.J. said...

Rob (nor I) had no idea how Bama/Auburn ended until we sat down for dinner.

Ho-lee fucking shit

T.J. said...

And Paul Walker died???????

Mark said...

You guys missed a good one, TJ. Among the best CFB games I've ever seen. Auburn was down 7 with 32 seconds left.

rob said...

so i'm told nick saban has some splainin to do

rob said...

tribe game went to overtime. very exciting! omar prewitt dropped 24.

sounds like there was some football played, as well.

whatever the line is on alabama's bowl game, take their opponent. the tide couldn't give fewer fucks at this point.

Mark said...

They're probably gonna play UCF in the Sugar Bowl. I'll take Bama.

rob said...

under saban, they've beaten colorado by 6, lost outright to utah...and beat the everlovin' shit out of michigan state when they didn't have anything to play for. the latter, though, was a 'fuck you' game for saban. now, they couldn't care less.

Shlara said...

Paul Walker death leading the local news. He's hot, but really? There's nothing bigger in DC tonight?

I feel like TNT is going to run a Fast & Furious marathon tomorrow--topped off by Varsity Blues

rob said...

prince okoroh dropped 40 for howard tonight, with a variety of old man moves. that was fun to watch, even as it was completely exasperating.

Mark said...

Missouri-Auburn In the SEC Championship game. Teams were a combined 2-14 in conference last year.

rob said...

daniela!

Mark said...

Thank you, Rob. Thank you.

Danimal said...

Tommy Turnover. 2 Int's in last 5 min of game. I can't say I'll miss ya Tom.

rob said...

you're welcome, mark. though it's not clear why you're thanking me.

TR said...

One night in Bangkok, my ass:

Thailand: Curfew Imposed In Bangkok.
A curfew will be imposed in Bangkok from 10:00 p.m. Dec. 1 to 5:00 a.m. Dec. 2, Thailand's deputy prime minister announced, Xinhua reported.

rob said...

quinn mcdowell, two points, two boards, one steal in 10 minutes of action as the armor lose to the canton charge to fall to 0-3. just a thought, coach (doug overton, by the way) - maybe you'd fare better if you played him more.

Mark said...

I was thanking you for repeating the autocorrect Daniela, Rob.

zman said...

The Bills could run the table: ATL, @TB, @JAX, MIA, @ NE. The Pats game will likely be meaningless for NE so they might play Mallette. An 8-8 record is a very Billsy way to enter a very deep draft.

zman said...

Or 9-7. Math.

Mark said...

Not a surprise but still noteworthy, Florida has fired OC Brent Pease.

rob said...

new football post up

zman said...

Pass the pease.