Thursday, September 27, 2012

Ryder Guestie: Wheelhouse Geoff Previews The 2012 Ryder Cup

Wheelhouse Geoff emerges from the rubble of, well, the wheelhouse to provide us a look at the 2012 Ryder Cup. America, F**k Yeah.

The 39th Ryder Cup gets underway on Friday at Medinah Country Club just outside of Chicago, where the European Team will attempt to continue what has been two decades of near dominance over the US.

The Ryder Cup is unique amongst all modern sporting events for a variety of reasons. First off, none of these guys are getting paid to be there and all the winners get is a modest looking trophy and bragging rights. Yet every two years, you see more passion, excitement and spastic, poorly executed high fives from the competitors than you do at any other event. Secondly, the format is unique in that its not only match play, but much of the competition is team (two-man) match play. On Friday and Saturday, a total of eight matches will be played each day, each worth one point. Half of the matches will be Four Balls matches (commonly called "best ball") wherein the low score amongst the four players wins the hole. The other matches will be foursomes matches (commonly called "alternate shot"), in that one player tees off, and his partner then hits the second shot and they alternate until the ball is holed. Low score on the hole wins. The former format is one used quite often by weekend golfers and elsewhere and the latter is never used by anyone ever except at the Ryder Cup, because its incredibly stupid.

The US has a 27-11-1 record in the Ryder Cup, but has won only four of the last 13 competitions, dating back to 1985. The lion's share of US wins came before 1979, when the Euro team was expanded from just Great Britain/Ireland to all of continental Europe. Since then, Europe has won 9 of the 16 matches. Even more troubling is that we have lost 3 of the last 5 Ryder Cups on US soil. This recent futility is due largely to the Europeans success in the Friday/Saturday teams competitions. The US, conversely, has consistently been dominant during the Sunday singles matches, just not always dominant enough to make up for the shellacking they took the previous two days.

Most experts are picking the US as the favorites this year, but that seems to be the case every year. Its true that the US squad is stacked, but historically that's a harbinger of shitty golf to come. Of the last 12 major championships, eight have been won by 2012 Ryder Cup participants, four by US players (Webb Simpson, Keegan Bradley, Phil Mickelson and Bubba Watson) and four by Euros (Rory McIlroy (2), Martin Kaymer and Graeme McDowell). The other four recent majors were won by Darren Clarke (a 2012 Euro Team assistant captain) and an assortment of South Africans with increasingly odd last names and awkward smiles (Els, Schwartzel, Oosthuizen).

Team USA is captained by Davis Love III, who possesses all the sexiness, charisma and excitement of a bologna sandwich. Davis, a strong player on tour for many years, probably underachieved by winning only one major championship, the 1997 PGA. His other claim to fame may be the putt he made in 1993 at the Belfry that won the Ryder Cup for Team USA. Historically, having a reputation as a dynamic, highly motivational guy has produced mixed results when it comes to Ryder captains. Paul Azinger and Ben Crenshaw fit that bill, and they led winning squads in '08 at Valhalla and '99 at Brookline, respectively. Corey Pavin has a similar reputation as a firery guy, as do Curtis Strange and Hal Sutton, and their captaincies were not successful and highly criticized. Davis' laid back, steady approach mirrors that of his closest friend on tour, Fred Couples, who has been hugely successful as a Presidents Cup captain.

The Euros captain this year is two time Masters champion Jose Maria Olazabal, who I would not urinate on were he on fire. Olazabal has a charming personality as long as you are endeared by aloof, self-important glowering. As a Ryder cupper, Olazabal has an 18-6-2 record, except no one can remember or find video of the matches he lost. When paired with the late Seve Ballesteros, the pair was 11-2-0 in team play. Ballesteros, who died earlier this year of brain cancer, Is largely credited with transforming the Ryder Cup competitions from a US walkover into a real (and somewhat bitter) competition. How revered is Seve by the Euros? His silhouette will be on each Euro player's bag tho weekend, Jerry West/NBA style.

Strategy

Course set up and pairings will be the two most talked about topics this week when it comes to Davis Love and to a lesser extent Olazabal. The home team captain gets to set up the course however he sees fit. This year, Davis has taken advantage of that opportunity to a more considerable extent than many of his predecessors. When Davis went to examine Medinah a couple weeks back, he left the course requesting two alterations. 1. Make it longer. It is now stretched out past 7500 yards. 2. Get rid of the US Open style rough, and at the edge of each fairway add a 20 yard second cut. This effectively widened the fairways by 40 yards and made the rough a non-factor. The US team is longer than the Euros, and they don't drive it as straight, thus this seems a smart move.

As to pairings, the Euros have ready made teams with unimpeachable recent Ryder records. Expect McIlroy to play with McDowell, Westwood with Luke Donald (they shot a reported 59 practicing four balls on Tuesday), and some combo of Ian Poulter with Paul Casey or Justin Rose.

The US pairings are harder to predict. Tiger will likely be with either Steve Stricker (a captains choice who is having a bad year) or Jim Furyk Mickelson will be paired with Webb Simpson and Keagan Bradley and God only knows on the rest. I'm hoping for a Bubba Watson/Jason Dufner "Southern Idiots" pairing, which produced great theater and great results in '08 with JB Holmes and Boo Weekley in the roles of the idiots.

Players to Watch


Tiger Woods record in the Ryder is a modest 13-14-2, which sadly makes him one of our better participants since 1995. Medinah, however, hosted the PGA Championship in 1999 and 2006. Guess who won both of those?

Ian Poulter is 8-3-1 in the last three Ryders. He has seemed near unbeatable and there's no reason to expect that to change.

Nicolas Colsarts is a new member of Team Euro and is notably the longest player in the competition and the first Belgian to participate in this event. He has a long history of being highly talented and the shitting the bed. I expect both he, and Martin Kaymer, to be used sparingly on Friday and Saturday.

Sergio Garcia is back on team Euro after being an assistant captain in 2010 because he was playing like a 13 handicap back then. His game has returned to form since then, and odds are he will play well this weekend. He has a career 14-6-4 Ryder record, so expect him to be nancing around the greens like a homosexual at a Lady Gaga concert every time he makes an eight foot putt.

The US team has four Ryder rookies (to the Euros one: Colsarts) in Bradley, Simpson, Dufner and FedEx Cup champ Brandt Snedecker. Simpson distinguished himself quite well in last year's President's Cup and as a group, if these guys don't provide a good number of our points, we're screwed. Our big name players (Tiger, Phil, Stricker, Furyk) have an average age of 42. I don't expect them to carry the load.

Prediction

I think the US wins the 14.5 points necessary to take back the Cup (in the event of a 14-14 tie, Europe retains the Cup). I'm pretty well sold on some of our younger players, especially because guys like Bradley and Simpson are such strong putters. If the US is down by two points or less going into Sunday, I think we will be in solid position to win.

Along with Wheelhouse Jerry, I'm talking the day off Friday to drink deep the aura of the Ryder Cup. The over/under on the first time Johnny Miller accuses someone of choking like a dog is set at 9:15am Friday. Take the under.

36 comments:

Danimal said...

well done sir. well done.

had a very strong feeling the last two times on the eventual winner and pocketed a buck or two. this time, not so much. am just not high on dl III. love the guy, he's a class act. but i just can't see him getting anyone fired up, ever. and the euro's playing w/the memory of seve with jose
ilostmyball as the captain? as an aside, the word on the street w/jose is he likes balls, not that there is anything wrong with that. i digress. fredddy will help as the asst and for whatever reason i guess jordan will too? what is up w/that by the way? when does that end? that annoys me that these guys feel his presence is needed for every ryder/pres cup. doesn't he have kids to spend time with once in a while, or a franchise to run? again, i digress. euro's winning it in a close one - 14 1/2 - 13 1/2. (but am not betting on it)

rob said...

i like all the pictures

/dick

Jerry said...

I love the Ryder Cup. Maybe my favorite sporting event.

Looking forward to seeing Dufner in the Ryder Cup pressure. He's possibly the most unflappable person in world history, so we've got a real rock/hard place thing going, as just about everybody is capable of some serious chokes in this event.

Luke Donald is career 8-2-1, including 6-0-0 in foursomes -- doesn't seem to get much press because he's so milquetoast and doesn't make super-intense facial expressions that make you want to kill him like Ian Poulter.

I'm a bit nervous about Bradley and Simpson. They're both kind of fidgety, especially Bradley. They've proven to be successful, but I just don't like their mannerisms.

I also like that Stricker will make the team every year because he's the only guy that Tiger will play with.

Could be a major rehab/resurgence opportunity for Tiger.

rob said...

not a lot of milquetoast shoutouts here. i like it.

Jerry said...

Even Donald's appearance on Feherty was ridiculously boring.

Geoff said...

Jordan and DL3 got to know each other when MJ was at UNC. Jordan says Davis taught him the game. So that and this being in Chicago made enough reason to keep it going.

For what it's worth, the pro at Bethpage told me the 2020 Ryder will be at the Black. NY crowds and the Ryder Cup? Yes please.

Danimal said...

feel the same about webb jerry, but not keegan. i think keegan is going to be rock solid. he f'ing grinds.

as long as they show luke's wife throughout i'm good.

and well aware of the davis/jordan/unc thing...it's still old and tired to me. to me. if the players get hard over it, then keep it going. i just think a few of them have to be tired of it too. imho.

Jerry said...

Webb has gotten better over the past year or two. He's sped up his game and steps off the ball less. I just don't know what to expect -- I could see him falling apart or thriving. Hopefully the major win will give him confidence, but it's not like he was really under pressure there.

Maybe I just don't like Keegan Bradley. The name, the long putter, the goofiness, the hunching. I don't know.

Jim Furyk is 1-8-1 in four ball.

Jerry said...

Oh and Matt Kuchar - nobody's talking about him and I don't like him much as a Ryder Cup player despite being the nicest guy on tour. Or maybe because of it.

Geoff said...

I think it's the long putter...kinda says "I get squirrelly when I'm nervous".

If I was captain, I'd send out Bubba/Dufner and Woods/Stricker as the first two groups. See if that's how it goes down. I bet JMO sends out Sergio and Donald in the first group.

Jerry said...

I'd like to see the blatant dipping pairing of Dufner/Dustin tear through the Euros. Could be big for the tobacco industry.

T.J. said...

Two pics added.

Jerry said...

I used to really hate a bunch of the Euro guys, but it's just not there anymore. Westwood seems to have somewhat endeared himself to the American crowds by getting older, not winning majors, and generally being a decent guy. Everybody likes Rory. People even like Sergio now, but I suspect that will change once he starts prancing around after a couple of birdies. No more Monty. Poulter is the only one left who's really easy to hate.

Although tomorrow after a few beers we'll work up a fury towards someone unexpected. Don't know who it's going to be yet, but it's going to happen.

rob said...

can't wait for jerry to go vandalize the irish embassy 'cause he's developed an irrational hatred for graeme mcdowell. or at least throw a chair over the bar at the 4 p's.

zman said...

Brilliant work by Teedge, as usual, digging up a still of the Racial Draft skit from Chappelle's Show. Probably my favorite skit.

zman said...

Skit skit skit!

T.J. said...

Jerry and Geoff, will you be downing A.M. Ales tomorrow morn? Perhaps blasting some AC/DC?

T.J. said...

that Racial Draft skit is one of the Top 5 TV comedy bits of all time

Clarence said...

What are the other 4?

Geoff said...

I still very much hate Sergio and Lee Westwood, who is a huge prick.

rob said...

colsaerts, you impotent bastard!

zman said...

I'm a fan of all skits involving Jamie Fox's Wanda character.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s8dJqJBaRm4

T.J. said...

Farley as Matt Foley, Motivational Speaker is one of the other 4.

rob said...

girl drink drunk, top 5

Clarence said...

Is this just sketch comedy? He said TV comedy, right?

rob said...

his fingers said tv comedy, but his heart said sketch.

'cause he's sketchy.

T.J. said...

that is correct, I had narrowed the scope to TV

Dave said...

wow! jerry's favorite sporting event is the ryder cup. never would have guessed that.

rob said...

zman, just saw a cl 600 with a v12 in the wild. thought you'd want to know.

Clarence said...

You woulda thought it was parking lot Camaro racing?

Clarence said...

The Springsteen show Marls and I attended is being aired on SiriusXM tomorrow night at 8. E Street Radio Channel 20 for anyone who gives a shit.

Danimal said...

am watching the phelps interview on feherty's show...i'd much rather watch lochte. yawn.

Mr KQ said...

Anyone else struggling to see where U.S. gets points in foursomes? Just me?

Best chance with Duffner/Johnson imho.

rob said...

i like woods/stricker to take that point

Mr KQ said...

I agree that's a good chance, and it is Friday so Tiger should be ok.. still a tough matchup and like Garcia, Poults lives for this. That and the sweet "updo" he was sporting today at the opening ceremony.

T.J. said...

Day 1 open thread is up...