Billy Beane, noted author of Moneyball*, stealer of money from the pockets of grizzled, tobacco-stained baseball scouts, and corrupter of all that is righteous and stupidly anachronistic in the game, famously posits that the Major League Baseball postseason is essentially a complete crapshoot. Recent events bear that out in spades, with 6 of the last 10 World Series champions reaching the postseason via wild card entry, and the 83-win St. Louis Cardinals catching lightning in a bottle for three weeks last October.
* - probably not true
In spite of the obvious difficulties in accurately predicting the outcome of short series’ in a sport designed for the long haul, the blogosphere grows bloated today with all manner of learned opinions. Let it not be said, then, that Gheorghe: The Blog didn’t fulfill its duty as a card-carrying member of the sporting underworld. On with the show, this is it:
American League
Angels vs. Red Sox
In an effort to add to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s ongoing frustration over the continued existence of a Jewish state, Administration officials have forged a plan with MLB brass to ensure that Kevin Youkilis’ Judean roots are prominently featured in the Sox’ broadcasts. If the Sox don’t advance to the ALCS, then the terrorists have already won. Boston in 4.
Yankees vs. Indians
Somewhere, Joe Borowski is huddled in the fetal position underneath a locker room bench. Fortunately for Indians fans, Eric Wedge has no problem leaving him there. Stocky, corn-fed Midwestern girls are A-Rod’s primary weakness, and Cleveland’s got ‘em to spare. His distraction becomes New York’s downfall. Cleveland in 5.
Indians vs. Red Sox
In order to purify my soul from a karmic perspective, I have no choice but to pick the Indians to beat the Sox in 6 games. Fausto Carmona has already made his bargain with the devil – this pick is mine.
National League
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks
True story – several D-Backs regulars are not even old enough to drink celebratory champagne*. Crafty Cubbie skipper Lou Piniella has taken a page from the movie Gus, and hatched a plan to trick the youngsters into getting completely hammered for Game 1 of the series, irrevocably shifting the momentum to Chicago. Cubs in 4.
* - perhaps not
Rockies vs. Phillies
I have a finely tuned antipathy for the City of Brotherly Love, but I really admire Jimmy Rollins. What to do? Root for Rollins to have a terrific series and for Brett Myers to completely gack away Game 5 in an epically torturous manner and then get served papers for abusing his wife as he walks off the field? That’ll work. Rockies in 5.
Rockies vs. Cubs
C’mon, there’s no chance the upstart Rox can stand in the way of Piniella and his mission from God. It's 106 miles to Chicago, Lou’s got a full tank of gas, half a pack of cigarettes, it's dark, and he’s wearing sunglasses. Hit it. Cubs in 5.
World Series
Cubs vs. Indians
We picked the Cubs back in July, and as the Tim Kurkjian/Buster Olney School of Prognostication stubbornly forbids modifications to months-old predictions even in the face of new information, we’re sticking with Chicago. Also, we think John Kerry will win the 2004 Presidential Election.
_____________
Whit-Note: Rob did indeed pick the Cubs to win it all back in July. At the time they were three games out in the NL Central and trailed both the Padres & D-backs in the early-on wild card standings. (Nice second half for the Dodgers.) Now . . . they're in it as much as anyone.
Yesterday I enjoyed a Williamsburg drunch with TJ, and since he's blogless for a few days, he asked me to point out some of the more prescient predictions that have appeared on G:TB this summer. Rob's Cubbie vision may be one; too early to tell, but the outlook looks better than most were calling for in July.
A second was Teej's anointment of Troy Tulowitzki as the NL Rookie of the Year a month or so ago. At the time, some called it a wasted effort, what with Ryan Braun's banner year in Milwaukee. After the last four weeks saw Tulo's continued ascent, Braun's countless fielding blunders, and the fortunes of each's team reach juxtaposed heights/depths, this may really be a race. Teej may have been onto something, as opposed to . . . you know.
As for me? Well, I predicted -- in colorful, utterly insulting fashion, no less -- that the Washington Nationals would have one of the worst baseball teams in recent league history. They finished at a relatively respectable 73-89. There were eight teams with worse records, and most significantly, they single-handedly eliminated my New York Mets from postseason contention. If ever there were karmic retribution in the blogosphere, this was it. A terrible underestimation on my part, but like Willie Randolph, my inner fire is still burning and I'll be back next year.
Wednesday, October 03, 2007
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30 comments:
Rev up the Gus Bus -- Gus Frerotte is starting for the Rams. With Gus going for St. Louis and Trent Dilfer stepping in this week for the Niners, it's 1994 all over again. It warrants a Heath Shuler mention, if only to be thankful that the Heath chapter gets further from the Redskins' fans conscious by the day.
Heath Shuler, the only man not smart enough to master the Redskins' offense but plenty bright enough for your House of Representatives.
That information does not bode well for Rams or 49ers fans.
how bad was tbs' production of the division series games yesterday? they missed the first pitches (and first outs) of several innings of the games i watched, and they had numerous obvious typos in their graphics. ernie johnson can only take you so far, people.
Ted Turner's getting up there in years. Starting to get sloppy.
Of course, he may always have been that way. The other night I heard a story how he gave UNC's commencement speech in the early 90's -- it lasted all of seven minutes and it was notceable to at least a few people that he was drunk. Nice, T-bag.
I would like the record to show that I will be blaming all Cubs' losses on Rob's prognostications.
Duly noted.
the sanctimonious douche factor in the deadspin comments section is rapidly making it not worth reading.
Whit, I just noticed some guy took offense to your "Nats suck ass but in a funny way" post a couple of days ago, which is quite odd, since it was written in March.
I hope that dude counts this as your penance.
the internet: it takes all kinds of morons to raise a child.
teej - did you also note the woman that took offense to your wish for the ups whiteboard guy to get hit by a bus? this town needs an enema.
tulowitski smash!
holliday smash!
Yeah, for some reason that post really drew the loonies out...didn't she claim to be his sister?
By the way, it looks like Jesus sent that one guy specifically to this earth to police the interweb. I wonder if wants a do over?
rollins smash!
Teej: You rooting for Boston or Anaheim? I can't decide. Every Yanks-Boston series takes a serious physical and emotional toll on me. The sleep deprivation effects alone from every game going until midnight are like hazing. When you combine the water-cooler chattter of bandwagon fans who have no idea what they're talking about, it gets to almost be too much.
amen to that, timmy. i'm a freaking basket case when they play.
and i guess jimmy rollins is serious about carrying the phils.
It is a mental and physical grind for sure, but I would much rather have another shot at the Red Sox than the Angels. Of course, I need C.C. and Fausto to collapse over the next 7 days for this to be a reality.
serious question - would you rather have a shot at the sox because you want to beat them head to head, or because you think the yanks match up better with them than the angels?
The hype factor around the Yanks-Sox is very daunting. And the Yanks need to regain their mojo against the Angels.
Anybody know where you can find the official postseason rosters for this round of the playoffs? I want to know if Torre has the cojones to leave Farnsworth off the playoff roster.
Answer to your question: The Sox-Yanks is a lot to take, especially now that I have a young son who hazes me out of sleep a lot. And I'm dreading my first postseason series where I have to look at McCarver's hair in HD.
Thinking as an objective Yanks fan, I would take my chances against Lackey, Escobar and Weaver over Dice K and Beckett. And I don't see A-Rod freezing up against the thunder sticks and rally monkeys like he would against the Massholes in Fenway.
As a Sox fan, do you have a preference? I would think that the young Indians would be preferrable.
Can I be your very own GTB sanctimonious douche? We douches like to ruin everything fun, you know.
Thanks for bringing that back up - rob, you care to elaborate on what prompted the deadspin commenter bashing? (not that I object to it) Was it the Remy post?
And I think the Yankees have a better chance against the Angels, and owe those fuckers for the last few series. But, that being said, I still prefer to take on the Red Sox and bash their skulls in.
Well . . . we've got a bit of an overflow of sanctimonious douches here already . . . but what the hell. Actually, at G:TB we prefer accessories -- douchbottles, douchnozzles, or douchewhistles.
(And we begin the sanctimony by inserting a colon into Gheorghe's abbreviation . . . which, as an aside, is quite the opposite from those long nights our namesake spent with the Bullettes.)
so much to deal with...
extra p, you can be our douche any time. we love the extrapolator and all its many-splendored tentacles.
teej - it wasn't the remy post, it was the sox' celebration post. every other fuckstick in the comments seemed to feel obligated to bash the sox, lemming after lemming. so a few of the sox got hammered after clinching a division title and many of them seem to dress like 90% of the rest of the guys their age. makes 'em douchey douchingtons, i guess. buy an original thought, already.
tr - i definitely prefer the indians, only because i could stand the anxiety of that series a lot more easily. very selfish, to be sure.
and kaz matsui smash!?!?
btw, the remy post deserved all the sanctimonious douchery it could get - that whole thing makes red sox fans look like, well, doucheburglers.
Every MLB team site should have an active roster listed on it. You can find it there.
Kaz Matsui smash??? Now I've seen it (or in this case read it) all.
kaz matsui grand salami smash. world coming to end.
kaz matsui has a double, triple, homer and 5 rbi. holy hot fuck.
LeBron James, born and raised in Ohio, at the Indians-Yankees playoff game . . . wearing a Yankees hat. Way to throw a 'bow right into the sternum of the state, LeBron. Nice.
Well, that went well...
"Hey Wang, enough with the pictures, it's a parking lot."
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