TR, Danimal and Rob have expressed an interest in an election prognostication contest, so let's have at it. First off, you can go here (CNN electoral map
Friday, October 19, 2012
Guestie: Electoral College Fantasy Game
In 18 days, droves of low information voters will drag their knuckles to the polls to determine if we want to continue our death-march towards the nanny state, or if we'd like to be winners who believe in personal responsibility again.
TR, Danimal and Rob have expressed an interest in an election prognostication contest, so let's have at it. First off, you can go here (CNN electoral map), fill out your map giving each state to one of the candidates and then post your electoral votes for each candidate in the comments, by the end of the day.
As a tie breaker, pick the net change in the Senate and the House - as in D+6 or R+4.
TR, Danimal and Rob have expressed an interest in an election prognostication contest, so let's have at it. First off, you can go here (CNN electoral map
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101 comments:
obama 281, romney 257
d +7
unless a billion screaming chinese invade the homeland, in which case, 'wolveriiiiiines'.
Is that D+7 in the House? What about the Senate?
oh - misread the rules and combined the two. my nanny state public education failed me yet again.
senate - d +2
house - d +5
I've got it Romney 279, Obama 259 (Romney wins VA, FL, CO, OH, and NH, Obama wins IA, NV and WI).
Dems gain 3 seats in the House and the Republicans gain 4 seats in the Senate.
You think the Dems will GAIN two seats in the Senate? As in, they'll have a 55-45 majority?
nope. forgot about the independents. i think it'll be 53-47 with the indies. so d +0.
That makes more sense.
write-in vote for Randy of the Redwoods
R 272 O 266
Romney gets VA, NC, FL, OH, NV
tie breaker unnecessary, correct?
have zero pulse on the house/sen races...i'll say dems +2 in house and rep + 2 in sen
and geoff, you can take your dominant male monkey motherfucker all caps culture war and shove it up your romney.
Noted. And you can take your bleeding heart, wealth redistribution, participation trophy, "Marx made some good points" bullshit and relocate to Lake Wobegon, where all the kids are above average.
I've got a hankerin for some Black Bush. Bushmill's that is.
You're not a real man until you split dark oak.
you forgot bin laden-killin', detroit-savin', recovery-presidin'. and gay-lovin'.
sorry. contractually obligated to respond to gop talking points with liberal ones.
I have Obama 271, Romney 269. And I love any jokes related to "Monster's Ball."
I have Obama 269, Romney 269. Which would lead to Romney win after the House votes.
And good thing Zman is not an accountant but a lawyer. I think your numbers might be off.
And Squeaky...could likely lead to Biden being VP...Senate votes for VP after House votes for Pres in case of a tie.
My numbers represent a fratty outcome. My frattiness cannot be bound by the constraints of the electoral college.
If a small state chose to just not vote this year, zman could be right. North Dakota might sit this one out...you never know...
That would do one hell of a white house: Romney/Biden. At least for SNL.
there are 538 electors. half of 538 is 269. how is zman wrong?
rather, how would a state not voting lead to zman's outcome?
is this one of those gop vote fraud thingies we keep hearing about?
Rob:
Zman is wrong, and so are you, and so was I...I was wrong in that it would require extra votes, not less votes.
271 + 269 = 540
Thought the GTB readers would find this amusing:
"He has been known to joggle throughout New York Road Runners’ midnight race on New Year’s Eve with blue, electrically charged balls. "
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/19/sports/joggling-the-marathon-3-beanbags-and-26-2-miles.html?pagewanted=2&_r=0&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20121019
so we're all wrong? that sounds about right.
If a result involving numbers ending in 69 and 71 are wrong then the electoral college is broken.
Lochte killed it on 30 Rock last night.
we live in a democracy?
i have obama 275 to 263. and also new jersey completely legalizes all recreational drugs.
personal responsibility is overrated, especially considering the new discoveries regarding the influence of our microbiome on health, character, and decision making.
Bill Simmons knows how to use "ether" as a verb? How the hell did that happen?
Not that anyone asked, but I have a bad feeling about today's game in the Swamp. Florida loses by a touchdown, or more.
Also, ESPN choosing Bama-Tennessee for the 7pm game and pushing Texas A&M-LSU to noon is a fucking crime.
I don't know Mark....Lattimore questionable which is worth a couple to you at least even if he plays. Am hoping they come here undefeated next week....adds a little buzz.
The "I'm Asian" sign in the Gameday crowd is amusing.
And is Jerry being sarcastic w the Lochte declaration?
Spurrier undefeated the week after a loss....hmmmm. And getting 3.5. Yes please.
The Lattimore thing is a smoke screen in my opinion. He's fine. and he's the best back in the country. Spurrier revels in plain Florida. I expect multiple gadget plays out of him.
Status: Worried to quite worried.
spurrier hates fancy florida, though
Fancy Florida? What's that? Sounds fun.
the opposite of plain florida, which sounds less fun
Everybody's fancy, everybody's fine.
I'm so confused, Rob. And I'm not even drunk, yet.
read your comment at 12:18, mark
Ah, I see what you did there. Once again, my inability to properly communicate on G:TB when sober rears its ugly head. Will be rectifying the sober part soon.
Wagers I like: BYU +11.5 (underrated on D) and Bama +20.5 (Tennessee continues to be a fucking shit show).
Intrigued by the Louisville (-6.5)-USF line. Holding off for now.
A purdue win over osu would be nice.
I got bama, Cocks, vatech (loss) and byu. Took byu on tues and got 14.
I like kstate+2.5 vs wvu...the duke +11 vs unc is appealing.
Duke +11 vs unc is something i am leaning toward. Kstate wv will be a good one to watch.
"I got ... Cocks ...."
hey, auburn: ha ha! /muntz
Black Keys tune in a Lee jeans commercial. Haven't heard a band touting Lee jeans since Run-DMC in 1986.
And I figured Mark would have a jubilant comment on the Gators' romp, but I'll just say this: I haven't seen that face on Spurrier since he was coaching the Skins.
Night games suck...we did get robbed w lsu game being early.
West Virginia's secondarh is THE WORST in the big conferences.
Frisky Toledo squad giving Cincy a battle.
Big East and SEC are the only two conferences with three undefeated teams. That makes them equally good, right?
so geno smith might not get the heisman, then?
Keys are grabbing paper while they can. I expect to hear Little Black Submarines in a Kotex ad any day now.
"same old go go, same old bamas."
I had limited G:TB access during the Gator game. But I had fun. Lots of fun. The offense even woke up and made some plays in the 2nd half.
Florida is a much better team than I ever expected them to be this year. Oh, and Muschamp is a maniac. As soon as I can find the recording of his halftime interview with the Gator radio guy I'll post it here. Amazing display of anger.
Made a little money today too. Let's get drunk(er)!
Hey there, Duke.
Great signing, Red Sox Nation. If you have the opportunity to get a guy who won 73 games this year, you can't let it slip through your greasy, fried chicken-coated fingers.
Mr. Truck: Louisville-Rutgers on Thurs 11/29 shaping up as a pretty big game. I think we should get tix and make a night of it.
mr. truck is in for that. i will talk to friends about getting tickets.
does rob not root for the skins at all? or will he still root for him against the giants? can you shut off all rooting emotions at will?
Hate to speak too early, but this Redskins drive is freaking impressive.
Alfred Morris has 10 carries on the first drive.
would still prefer the redskins beat all of their nfc east rivals. would also prefer the saints weren't awful.
The Redskins viewing experience is much better when they actually get first downs.
Rob - Fred Davis has an achilles injury. Are you back on board if your buddy Cooley gets a phone call tonight?
if that phone call comes with ownership of the team, sure
the farrell deal makes this sox fan happier than a pig in shit. i fully expect jon lester and clay buchholz to be cy young candidates next year.
I hate the fucking Titans.
I remember when sawks fans said "we got daubach, hatteberg, caaahl Everett, Valentin, Offerman, Nomah ... We're gonna be great!"
If you say "seam in the middle of the defense" too quickly it sounds nasty.
zman is a one-man non sequitur band.
i remember when the 2007 red sox had the league's best record and won 11 of 14 postseason games and a world series title with farrell as tito's pitching coach.
you take it! no, no, i insist, you take it.
The Saints offense has to make you pretty happy, Rob. As well as that goal line stand they just pulled off. In related news, the Bucs continue to be terrible. Maybe having all their home games blacked out wasn't so terrible after all.
I remember when Pedro was the greatest pitcher alive and his pitching coach, Joe Kerrigan, shat the bed as the sox's manager so badly that Grady Little was deemed a better option.
me too. that sucked. until grady made theo hire tito.
finished cryptonomicon. didn't love the ending, but quite enjoyed everything to that point. seriously impressive research went into that book. i'd like to be like bobby shaftoe for a day.
oooh, shanny gettin' all frisky
new york's play calling is baffling
Love the score, but too much time left for Eli. I am not optimistic that this defense can keep them from going 50 yards in 1.5 minutes with 3 timeouts.
read snowcrash. almost as fun as this giants/skins game.
best part of cryptonomicon is his whole masturbation/prostitution/true love creativity sine wave.
WTF is up with Bill Cowher's hair? It's so bad it distracts from Shannon Sharpe's nostrils.
vincent jackson is on my fantasy team. yay!
oh, i didn't start him today? neat!
Grimes time kicks off in 1 minute.
he active today?
Like the throwback Pats' unis. 1980's Pats were pretty beatable.
Yes Rob. #2 on depth chart. You'd know if you read my tweets. #insulted
Try all you want, Microsoft, but nobody gives a shit about the new Internet explorer. Stop trying to sex it up.
been off the tweet machine, tr. sincere apologies.
Grimes: 1catch, 3 yds.
Jags just got a 1st down. Mark it down.
Jax has 6 penalties for 92 yards. Am guessing that is more than their total offense.
Blue Angels in jax this wkd. Never gets old. 1st time for the kids....4 year old asked halfway through..."what'r they doin up there....they doin some STUNT Flyin or something??" I just gave him that look.
Worst team in the nfl, hands down. Henne makes Gabbert look like Marino.
Anyone else watching this weed piece on 20/20?
Yes z...wanna become a Ganjapreneur?
penn state is a 2.5 point favorite against ohio state in happy valley next week. anyone got a metric fuckton of money i can borrow?
I missed a weed piece on 20/20? Dammit. That's what I get for inviting my parents over for dinner. Though I think my Dad cursed and drank less than he usually would during a pathetic Cardinals showing like this due to my childrens. So that's good, I guess.
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