Thursday, February 17, 2022

Mo' Money: A Dave Fairbank Joint

A little bit about money and inequality. I’ll keep it brief, since what I don’t understand about money and finance fills libraries. One of the few things I know about money is that having it is beneficial, while not having it is troublesome. 

The pandemic drove that home. 



The well-heeled and the wealthy are getting weller-heeled and wealthier. [Note: I appreciate that we've convinced our most-accomplished professional scribe to adopt the informality of our tenuous relationship with the language.] America’s billionaires increased in both numbers and wealth – from 610 at the start of the pandemic to 745 as of October 2021; from totaling just shy of $3 trillion in combined wealth to more than $5 trillion, according to Forbes and Inequality.org. In just the first three quarters of 2021, the wealthiest one percent saw their collective fortunes increase by $13 trillion, to $43.94 trillion, and they controlled nearly one-third (32 percent) of the country’s wealth, according to numbers from the Federal Reserve. 

Meanwhile, those at the lower end of the economic spectrum mostly feel the heel pressing on their sternum. They’re more susceptible to disease and unemployment and hardship. Though job creation numbers are trending up and unemployment numbers down, as of last November there were still 3.5 million fewer workers in the labor force than before the pandemic. A survey of several thousand people by Capital One Insights Center found that 40 percent of low-wage earners in two-paycheck households reported that at least one person lost their job or had to leave their job during the pandemic. 

Whatever gains from changing jobs or holding out for higher pay are now being eaten up by inflation. Consider that the bottom 50 percent of the U.S. population (165 million people) possess 2.5 percent of the nation’s wealth, according to the Fed. Our march down this plutocratic path has sparked discussion. Is protecting citizens of the planet’s wealthiest nation limited to weaponry and defense? Should it include affordable, accessible health care? Infrastructure that doesn’t crumble beneath our feet? Clean air and water? Climate change mitigation efforts? Living wages? 

Among measures discussed are Universal Basic Income and Guaranteed Income. UBI is a payout from the government to everyone, and it was a cornerstone of fringe presidential candidate and New York City mayoral candidate Andrew Yang's policy framework. UBI is likely DOA in state and national circles, as nothing gets tagged “socialist” faster than governments giving money to individuals – though notorious “lefty” Richard Nixon seriously considered implementing a nationwide UBI as part of the War on Poverty before he was dissuaded. Guaranteed Income, on the other hand, is payouts to specific groups, and programs have sprouted up in recent years. 

According to Business Insider, there are at least 33 programs around the country amid or recently concluded providing a guaranteed income to groups of people, nearly all at or below the poverty level. In Alexandria, Va., a D.C. suburb, officials allocated $3 million from the American Rescue Plan Act and will pay 150 households $500 a month for two years, no strings attached. St. Paul, Minn., launched a program that will pay 150 families affected by COVID $500 a month for 18 months. In Tacoma, Wash., a tech company geared toward worker empowerment co-founded by Shaquille O’Neal is footing the bill for 110 people to receive $500 a month for a year. In Shreveport, La., 110 families will receive $660 a month for 12 months. Richmond, Va., will use funding from the Federal CARES Act and the Robins Foundation to pay 18 working families that do not qualify for benefits but still don’t earn a living wage $500 a month for 24 months. 

One program in Gainesville, Fla., will target formerly jailed people, with an aim toward breaking the cycle of poverty and incarceration. It will pay them $1,000 the first month and $600 per month for 11 months afterward and track their spending and behavior. Organizers point out that the U.S. spends $182 billion per year jailing people and has 25 percent of the world’s prisoners. Florida’s incarceration rate is even higher than the national average, with almost two of every 100 Floridians (391,000 people) either jailed or under criminal justice supervision. Because of the costs of incarceration and supervised release to prisoners and their families, they coined a phrase: too poor to be free. 

Several programs cite former Stockton, Calif., mayor Michael Tubbs and the program he launched in 2019 that gave 125 residents $500 per month for two years. The program, mentioned in this space, helped stabilize recipients’ lives and did not result in a spike in the purchase of so-called “temptation goods” (alcohol, drugs, tobacco). Nor did it disincentivize people from working, as critics of government payout programs often claim. Tubbs lost his bid for re-election and relocated to Los Angeles, where he serves as an advisor to Gov. Gavin Newsome and recently launched a non-profit aimed at broadening the state’s safety net and addressing inequities in housing, wages and spending. 

Tubbs’ fingerprints also are all over the Mayors for a Guaranteed Income coalition, a group of dozens of mayors around the country already overseeing GI programs or exploring implementation. One of MGI’s mantras is: Everyone deserves an income floor through a guaranteed income. Tubbs himself was quoted about his non-profit: “I would argue that the government has a responsibility not to give everything to everybody, but to make sure the rules and the laws and regulations are just — so that the outcomes are just.”

27 comments:

rob said...

reupping from the previous thread:

i woke up this morning with a bulbous growth coming off my left elbow, all squishy and bruise-colored. i can't for the life of my pinpoint a moment in the past week where my elbow met with a traumatic blow that would explain it. i'm open to your ideas of what may have transpired to cause this random injury.

Marls said...

Clearly something needs to be done about income inequality in this country. That said, not sure UBI or GI are a silver bullet, especially at the federal level.

Folks often cite disincentivizing work, or spending on vice items as strikes against UBI or GI. There are some broad based studies that show those arguments to be bullshit. However fears of inflation and how to pay for such a program do hold some water. GI has worked in limited situations because the programs are not big enough to really impact the macroeconomic environment. Doing so across the US of A would likely change that, and is problematic given the concerns that we already have with inflation that is impacting low income people most. Additionally, the funding mechanism (Yang wanted a VAT tax) may create pricing increases that are also regressive and disproportionately impact individuals.

We probably need a mix of revisions to the upper end of the tax code, some limited forms of GI, and universal health care to really make a dent in the growing inequality. We should also begin to address the prison-industrial complex due to both the financial and social problems it has created.

Happy to discuss over a beer or 12 on the OBX.

rob said...

we should film a mclaughlin group-style roundtable at obft, only it can't start until all participants have had at least six beers/trulys/gummies/whiskeys. and it can't end until there's a massive royal rumble-style brawl.

and i agree in principle with marls. one of the biggest problems to overcome with ubi/gi is the notion that all public policy will fail on the edges and people that disagree with the policy will use those failures as cudgels to 'prove' that it was a terrible idea. such failings are inevitable in a nation of 330 million.

zman said...

WRONG! THE ANSWER IS 7!

Marls knows prison.

I thought rob's first comment would involve smiling at the rising sun.

OBX dave said...

Agree with Tim, as well. Tax code needs to be revised. Something's amiss when the ultra-wealthy and mega-corporations pay lower effective tax rates than bottom 50 or 70 percent. Granted, millions and billions provide more tax revenue than wide swaths of low- and medium-wage earners, but doesn't correspond to fortunes they amass and continue to increase -- particularly when huge sums are hidden or shielded.

I'd also argue that it's a matter of priorities. The original price tag of the Build Back Better bill was $3.5 trillion over 10 years, now pared back to $1.7 trillion. Critics anguish: how are we going to pay for it? But Congress and the Prez signed off on a $768 billion defense bill ($30 billion more than the Pentagon requested). Projected out, that's $7.68 trillion over 10 years, a darn sight greater than BBB. No one ever asks: how are we going to pay for it? And, we're no longer in a shooting war.

rob said...

my wife and kid are headed to atlanta for the weekend for a cheer meet, and i've teed up a nice bachelor agenda. watching pro rugby with marls and mr kq tomorrow night followed by a concert at my local venue on saturday and then some sleeping through the holiday. not too shabby.

rootsminer said...

I think we could find a way as a society to build a more holistic safety net, but I may be a dreamer.

Rob, your weekend sounds good- hope your good arm is sufficient to hoist all the beverages.

rob said...

y'all clock what phil mickelson is alleged to have said about the new saudi arabian golf tour? dude's publicist is gonna be working overtime for a while.

rootsminer said...

I mean, human rights are cool and all, but have you ever tried sticking it to the PGA?

mr kq said...

Eamon Lynch ain't holdin nothin back neither

mr kq said...

TJQ coming up on SC to talk Eric Kay trial

T.J. said...

and yesterday's episode of the ESPN Daily podcast was all TJQ talking that trial

mr kq said...

He's been down there a couple of weeks and is ready to GTFO

Mark said...

I follow TJQ on Twitter and he's been all over the trial. Really interesting.

OBX dave said...

Re: Mickelson, a buddy who's covered PGA for years thinks Phil is flirting with Saudis cuz he needs the money. Debts, taxes, gambling. Says he's as arrogant as the day is long and views any inconvenience as a grievance. His longtime nickname on the circuit is FIGJAM (Fuck, I'm good, just ask me).

Danimal said...

Phil did more damage to himself and the Chainsaw Tour with his quotes than Jay M and PGA TOUR have done to date. I love it.
He and the players (see Pat Perez comments this week) have some valid beefs, but to poke the bear as he has is ill-guided. Understament of the week there. Should the dope ever make it to the pearly gates, he's going to receive a cold welcome from Arnie.
I have heard that the #'s being thrown around Phil in these talks is in the 250M range.

rootsminer said...

Dave, is FIGJAM a reference to being 'good' to cover a debt, or just overall arrogance?

I like to think that if I'd earned the type of money Phil has, I would be able to plan for my future without having to partner up with a terrible regime to keep me in the black.

OBX dave said...

Hey Scott, was told that nickname refers to overall arrogance. To your second point, I think I read that only Tiger has earned more money than Phil. Career earnings are right around $100 million, and Guardian estimates his sponsorship take at $500 million. Yet he fusses that PGA somehow limits earnings and opportunities. I don't begrudge anybody making as much as market will pay, but flirting with the Saudis or at least trying to use them as leverage is some career and legacy arson.

zman said...

I don't watch golf outside of the majors, and even then not more than an hour give or take, so I'm not an authority on the sport or its market. But how many people will stop watching or attending PGA events if Mickelson isn't there? I bet zero. Even if he stays put he will retire someday and it's not like the tour will grind to a halt. He's a schmuck.

Whitney said...

Douchebucket

Whitney said...

To me, this is why the internet was created and why it’s a good thing

https://melmagazine.com/en-us/story/norm-from-cheers

Mark said...

Just had an assistant coach from the opposing team yell at me because my postgame huddle with my team was holding up the handshake line. He then proceeded to tell me I can huddle after handshakes and that they won’t wait for us next time. I calmly replied “Thanks for the advice”. What a dick. And lucky that I’ve calmed down significantly in my old age.

Donna said...

So, this is going to be long, and I'm sorry. And if none of you read it, that's fine. And if you're mad at me for commenting this long, I'm sorry. But here goes:
1. On universal income - well, we need it. Or something like it. Or some things like it for the poor or almost poor or those on the brink or whatever. I know most of you are on the high end of upper class, or rich or whatever. Or maybe you wouldn't classify yourselves that way. And honestly, while we (meaning my family) don't make lots of money (cash salary, I mean), we are very, very lucky. The denomination I serve (Presbyterian Church,USA - NOT PCA, and that's a big difference, because they hate women and gay people and basically anyone different from white men - I hope none of you are PCA) takes good care of us. Especially with healthcare...my husband and I are both full-time pastors, and because we are, we get healthcare 100% paid for each of us and our children by our churches. Meaning, we don't pay any of the premium. The churches pay it in full. It's BCBS insurance - I can see a therapist as many times as I want and pay nothing annually (and I do). Our daughter broke her arm years ago. Our cost was $7. Our medications - not that we have many - cost us $0. It's pretty amazing. So, while we don't make much cash salary, you can kind of add that benefit to our cash salary. Also, we get death/disability and pension. Yes, I said that - pension. And the pension fund of the PCUSA is one of the most robust there is. Second maybe to the Episcopalians. We are lucky! AND pastors get a housing allowance tax benefit, that honestly, probably should be re-evaluated. It means the amount of our salary that is designated as housing allowance (and it does have to be formally designated as such) is not subject to federal income tax. That's nuts! Look it up. So, what I'm saying is this idea of "universal income" - well, maybe it shouldn't go to folks like me or other middle class or you all and definitely not the rich, rich right, but folks at or near the bottom - they need help. I work with re-settled Myanmar families - these are folks who have been here about a dozen years. Almost all of them are citizens now. They have families - lots of children. And they do jobs people don't like, don't want to do...like at Smithfield Packing in Smithfield, VA. The meat-packing joint that's Chinese-owned now. It's freezing in there, not so great conditions, but they have good benefits and decent wages and steady work. But it's hard. And these folks are willing to work. But it's still hard to make ends meet. And they also work lots of restaurant jobs - sushi. (We get to eat well at the church!) But that's hard because of covid and because of turnover in the business. And these folks have massive issues - social/cultural/educational...it's so hard.

Donna said...

And that child tax credit was a lifesaver for many of them. And now it's gone! Because Joe Manchin is a douchebag. And the other 50 republicans who make a bizillion dollars. I've spent the last 6 weeks helping a family where the dad is an alcoholic and beats his wife, but the kids don't want to leave, so she stays, and they don't have enough money because he drinks it away, and another family whose baby died in uncertain circumstances (this one is a nightmare and still unresolved!!), and the language barriers alone with the doctors and social workers and authorities and how the dad can or can't keep his job in the midst of it is nuts, and a third family where the 10 year old son won't go to school and the cops had to come and literally drag him to the hospital, but the services sent him home - would not keep him for evaluation - because he's not in-the-moment suicidal and still can't get counseling for over 6 weeks...there are no services and no money. Our city council approved $66.7 million in ARPA money (covid federal funds) with $22.6 million of it for a project none of them can say what it will be spent for, but $0 of it, $0 for gun-violence prevention. After our city has had 2 school shootings this year. And Congress will green-light a defense budget of $30 billion MORE than what the pentagon even requested. We are lost, friends. The income gap is beyond huge - it is a chasm, and these yokels who we call "public servants" - well, that's a fucking joke.

2. Then, to have Phil Mickelson talking like he is - OMDL. What a jackass. For people who are so uber rich to complain like they do. It's insane. People like him, athletes and celebrities and politicians and team franchise owners and CEOs and the like who have the amounts of money they have - we've reached a point that it simply makes no sense. As fast as Bill Gates tries to give away money, he makes it. It's beyond sense. I can't even fathom of those amounts of money. I'm floored by the arrogance of people like Bezos and Musk. Floored. And embarrassed. I can't imagine what it must be like to be family members or friends with folks like that. I just can't. And if I'm offending any of you, I apologize. Clearly, I've had a day or days (That is true! It's been quite a few months, really.)

3.From everything I just wrote, you're probably thinking that I'm about as half-empty as ever. And yeah, I've gotten pretty darn cynical. Truth is, I'm usually one of the most optimistic people around. But the last two years has definitely dampened my view. But I can finish with this - I love that piece you posted there, Whit. "Cheers" is a big favorite of my middle son, which makes me laugh because he's only 17. Funny how it holds up. And my oldest son, who is a freshmen as W&M, and gets to go to Scotland for two years of undergrad (how lucky is that?!), he loves history and international relations and politics, so maybe our future is still bright. He says that there are definitely solutions to the issues in our country and one of the big ones is to rein-in the defense budget. Here's to hoping!
Thanks for letting me comment - or I don't know about "letting me" - but giving the space for it ~
Y'all have a good weekend...I'm watching Manchester City as I type...

Dave said...

1. clearly something needs to be done about the bulbous growth on rob's elbow

2. anand giridharadas's book "winners take all" gets into why rich people, even rich people who ostensibly want to help people, also want to maintain the same market-based status quo. rich and powerful people do NOT like change. so things might have to get pretty crazy for change to happen . . .

rob said...

go ahead, donna

rootsminer said...

Before I read Rob’s reply I was planning to comment “Preach, Donna!”. I’ll refrain, despite being appreciative of the perspective that I wish a lot more people in our society should consider.