Showing posts with label huge mistake. Show all posts
Showing posts with label huge mistake. Show all posts

Thursday, April 08, 2021

This Week in Wrenball: The Counterfactual

At the end of the 2018-19 college basketball season, 4th seeded William & Mary lost to 5th seeded Delaware in the first round of the CAA Basketball tournament. The Tribe finished that season with a 14-17 record, but there was reason for optimism despite the early end to the campaign. W&M was returning its top 5 scorers, freshman Chase Audige had shown substantial promise, sophomore Luke Loewe hadn't yet shown the offensive potential he'd later display, but had proven he could defend the league's best guards, and 7'0" transfer Andy Van Vliet (from Wisconsin) was scheduled to join the experienced roster for the 2019-20 season. Most neutral observers picked the Tribe as the preseason favorites to win the league in 2020.

Then, a week later, amidst vague and scummy noise about "a culture of losing", athletic director Samantha Huge fired the winningest coach in school history.

Four players transferred: Audige (to Northwestern), fellow frosh LJ Owens (UMBC), grad transfer Justin Pierce (UNC), and Matt Milon (UCF). Pierce was a solid contributor in the ACC for the Tar Heels, and Audige was Northwestern's leading scorer in this his first year of post-W&M eligibility, scoring 12.3 ppg in mostly Big Ten action. Loewe graduated from W&M this Spring and transferred to Minnesota. So if you're paying attention, you'll note that the 2019-20 team might've had three Big Ten-quality players, a solid ACC contributor, an NBA-level conference POY in Nathan Knight, a terrific shooter off the bench in Milon, a versatile guard in Owens, and a couple of promising youngsters.

New coach Dane Fischer did an admirable job with the remnants of Shaver's program and a bounty of incoming transfers, winning 21 games before losing to Elon in the first round of the 2020 CAA Tournament. Careful observers will note that the 2020 squad bowed out at exactly the same point in the season as the 2019 team, Huge's arglebargle about "setting the bar high" notwithstanding. 

So you've reached this point in this post, and you're thinking, "I've seen this movie before, and it ends with Rob pissing and moaning about something Wren-related". Not so fast my friends. This is not a post about how Samantha Huge fucked Tribe hoops (though she did). Instead, it's a question about what might have been and what other things compare.

Nerrrrrrds
Our sage colleague OBX Dave slid into my Twitter DMs and said that he believes that Shaver's 19-20 team would've won the CAA tournament title and earned a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Only to have the tournament cancelled. Kinda like what happened to Hofstra. That would've been one hell of an irony, and it got Dave to thinking, what other things in history would be equivalent - hope and opportunity aloft and then gutpunched to miserable coulda shoulda regret.

Pete Best's career comes to mind. Matthew Modine surely wishes he hadn't passed on the role of Maverickin Top Gun. Hillary Clinton wonders why she didn't campaign in Wisconsin (too fucking soon, man). IBM hired Bill Gates and his merry band of Microsoft engineers to build an operating system for $80,000, with the stipulation that MSFT retained the copyright. For what became DOS. Expensive mistake, that. 

We'll close this post (while you offer better examples in the comments) with Dave's entry. If only Deco wasn't such an immature dope and Jimmy would've stopped shagging all the girls in the band. As John Greenleaf Whittier wrote, "For all sad words of tongue and pen, The saddest are these, 'It might have been'."

Monday, October 19, 2020

On Intercollegiate Sports

Measured and thoughtful, not generally our stock in trade - so we asked our man in the OBX to weigh in on the burgeoning crisis in intercollegiate athletics. A reckoning is upon us, it seems, and while I think the most likely next phase is a substantial reordering of conference affiliation, there are other alternatives worth considering. To wit:

More than 250 athletic teams have been cut at dozens of colleges since last spring, including a handful at a school with which most of the audience is marginally familiar. It’s a development brought on by increasing costs and worsened by a pandemic that’s further stressed the system.

One man wonders if the reductions, painful as they are for the principals and their communities, are all bad. Tom Farrey is a journalist and executive director of the Aspen Institute’s Sports and Society Program, the think tank’s division devoted to games and those who play, coach and administer them. He penned a recent essay in the New York Times that led with the athletic kerfuffle at William and Mary and floated the idea that fewer varsity sports could actually be good for schools, for athletic departments and for students and athletes themselves.

The present Division I college athletic model is unsustainable, Farrey argued, particularly for schools

outside the Power 5 conferences that don’t have access to the revenue streams provided by network TV deals, in-house league TV networks, ticketing, marketing, licensing, etc. For example, the Big Ten distributed $55.6 million per school in fiscal year 2020, according to USA Today. That’s in addition to the revenue that each school generates. The Southeastern Conference paid out $45.3 million per school, according to its most recent filing. The ACC paid between $27.6-$34 million to its member schools. By comparison, William and Mary’s entire athletic budget is approximately $30 million, with almost negligible revenue from its league, the Colonial Athletic Association.

Farrey said that fewer varsity sports can open the door for increased levels of club and intramural sports. In addition to the cost savings for scholarships and coaches and staff, athletic departments and athletes would not be bound by the NCAA’s voluminous rule book. Nor would club-level athletes feel as if their entire college existence were tied to competition, often the case when scholarship aid is part of the equation. They would be responsible for their own coaching, practice and competitive schedules – valuable qualities easily applied later in life.

Farrey wrote that reducing the number of varsity sports means less money pursuing and recruiting athletes and creates the potential for athletic departments to reallocate money for more robust club and intramural programs. I’m skeptical of this argument, since many athletic departments will take any savings and either give it to the remaining sports or perhaps apply it to the bottom line. Athletic departments tend to spend every dime available. And as difficult as it is to manage an intercollegiate athletic program, I don’t see departments setting up club sports administrative structures.

Farrey pointed out another potential benefit: cost savings to students. Student fees at many schools provide a sizeable chunk of the athletic department budget, particularly at non-Power 5 schools. Student fees are tacked onto their bills, in addition to tuition and room and board, regardless of whether they’re sports fans or attend games. NBC News did a piece last spring examining student fees and found that many schools were less than forthcoming about that particular line item. At William and Mary, students pay more than $1,900 annually, which totals $14.5 million for athletics, almost half of its athletic budget, according to the report. At James Madison, students pay $2,340 per year in fees, providing $38.9 million for the athletic department.

It’s easy to foresee a revolt. Students may justifiably demand access to athletic facilities and resources, since they’re helping to pay for them. With student debt increasingly burdensome, fees can tack on $5,000-$10,000 to student loans and further extend payback plans. Any reduction in debt is helpful.

William and Mary likes to think of itself as unique, and it may be. It’s part of the school’s DNA that athletes are integrated into the college community and not separated by virtue of their ability. The school does not have “eligibility” majors or academic tracks. Athletes and coaches often make do with less than their peers, yet routinely challenge for conference championships and postseason berths. The W&M community takes pride in that.

Which speaks to why the school now has an interim athletic director and a loosely organized aim to re-examine its decision to cut sports. Former AD Samantha Huge badly mis-read the room, and her ham-handed efforts were her undoing. To hear some of her detractors and those affected by the decision, she was not only callous but disingenuous (Honestly, the breadth of groups she antagonized and alienated within the college community is impressive).

Huge believes that William and Mary’s present model is unsustainable. She may be correct. A more polished and engaging athletic director might have reached the same conclusion and might have been able to sell the decision, painful as it is. The teams targeted for extinction, and many within the athletic and school community, ask for the opportunity to do it the way they’ve always done it and to remain true to the school’s mission. Whether that’s possible amid the realities of 2020 college athletic economics and a global pandemic whose effects will be felt for years to come is an extraordinarily tough call.

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Emergency Wrenball Post: In Shaver We Trusted

We've been over the numbers ad nauseam. The 2-18 record in CAA Tournament play between 1985 and 2003. The 11-45 mark the Tribe hoops squad put up over my first two years on campus. The run of 17 years with a single postseason victory. The 21 seasons between 1985 and 2007 with two winning seasons (one of those 14-13). The 100-38 loss at Duke in 1992.

We don't understand, either, Coach
And of late, the six consecutive seasons of double-digit conference victories. The double-digit overall victories in 12 of 13 years (by far the best such stretch in W&M basketball history). The four CAA Tournament finals. The six-point lead with 70 fucking seconds to play in the 2014 CAA championship game. The seven first-team All-CAA players. The best-shooting team in America in 2017-18, and one of the best of all-time. William & Mary's all-time leading scorer.

The first set of digits represents William & Mary basketball's history before Tony Shaver was hired from Hampden-Sydney in 2003, figuring he had one last, best shot to test his mettle at the Division I level. After a couple of years of scuffling, he scrapped his up-tempo system and adapted to the players he was able to recruit, and built an offense tailored to disciplined, smart athletes who could shoot, even if most of them couldn't jump out of the gym in the early years. Which led to the second group of numbers.

Stats are interesting, and you can build a story around them if you're so inclined. W&M Athletic Director Samantha Huge seems to have built a narrative that suits her vision around a single stat, or lack thereof. In firing the best coach ever to have worked the sidelines in Williamsburg, she noted that, "We are forever grateful to Tony for his commitment and service over 16 years to William & Mary. He is a teacher not just a coach and his impact on hundreds of young men will be felt by them for years to come." Nothing to quibble with there.

Huge went on to say, "However, we have high expectations for our men's basketball program, including participating in the NCAA Tournament, and we will not shy away from setting the bar high.  Now is the time to begin a new chapter in William & Mary basketball." The 0-fer the Shaver put up when it comes to NCAA Tournament bids is the Scarlet Number that Samantha Huge couldn't overlook.

At the mid-major level, every conference tournament is a crapshoot, a lot like the Major League Baseball playoffs. Four, five, six teams in each league have hope entering the postseason. Look at Saint Mary's this year. Or Bradley. Or Northern Kentucky. All we can ever ask as alumni of a school like William & Mary is to have hope.

Before Tony Shaver, we had none. Since our first miracle CAA Tournament run in 2008, we've had it in spades, and three other times, we were one game away from history. After the 2008 CAA Finals loss to George Mason, we wrote this:
"But as we noted in this space just yesterday, the loss does nothing to diminish the joy this unlikely group of kids brought to W&M’s generally subdued alumni. For the briefest of moments we were allowed to pretend we belonged, to plan trips to the Boise or Sacramento or Tacoma subregionals, to shout ourselves hoarse watching a game that actually mattered, and to dream. Generations of us had never even allowed ourselves to dream. When we talk about this team, that’s the thing we’ll remember – not that they finally fell short, but that they let us dream, hope, and care. And at some level, that’s the magic of college basketball, that an obscure school from a mid-major conference can make otherwise mature (it’s in the eye of the beholder, people) adults let loose the bonds of logic and rationality and really, deeply believe in the most unlikely outcomes."
When we talk about Tony Shaver, we won't talk about the 226-258 record or the eight losing seasons. The thing we'll remember is not that he lost more than he won, but that he let us dream, hope, and care. And that's a hell of a thing.

In Shaver We Trust.