Showing posts with label world cup 2018. Show all posts
Showing posts with label world cup 2018. Show all posts

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Quick, Dirty, Definitive: A G:TB World Cup Preview

The 2018 World Cup kicks off today in Moscow (and dig on the vaguely Cyrillic/Moorish font FIFA's chosen). It's well-established that the United States squad will be watching from home, kicking it with their Italian and Dutch pals, in what's now surpassed the 1998 World Cup as the most abysmal American failure in modern soccer history*. And you already know who I'm pulling for, even though the Ticos have played really poorly in the run-in to the Finals. So in the spirit of Gheorghe, we'll keep this short and sweet.

We lost to Iran in 1998. Not good. Bad.
* If you're interested in a great story, packed with melodrama, hubris, players sleeping with their friends' wives, and mullets, check out Roger Bennett's podcast, American Fiasco, about that 1998 U.S. team.

Forthwith, the official G:TB World Cup predictions:

Group A: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Uruguay

On the field, Uruguay are the class of this group, and if Mo Salah is healthy, Egypt are a good bet to advance, as well. But Russia are involved. And the tournament is in Russia. There will be chicanery. It won't be subtle. But we still like Uruguay and Egypt to move on to the knockout stage.

Group B: Portugal, Spain, Morocco, Iran

Spain just sacked its head coach, Julen Lopategui, after word leaked that he'd agreed to become Real Madrid's new manager. This might normally derail a squad, and it certainly could have an impact later in the tournament as tensions between the Barcelona and Real players on the team boil over. But Spain's going to win this group easily. Portugal will join them in the next stage.

Group C: France, Australia, Peru, Denmark

France are the class of this group, and on paper, one of the favorites to win the entire thing. I don't believe in their chemistry - too many preening show ponies for my taste. Peru will finish second, barely edging Denmark.

Nigeria have the best kits in the competition
Group D: Argentina, Iceland, Croatia, Nigeria

The heart wants Iceland and Nigeria. The head says Argentina and Croatia, two really strong sides.

Group E: Brazil, Switzerland, Costa Rica, Serbia

Brazil's biggest worry in the group stage is staying healthy. They should cruise. While I'm rooting for Costa Rica, I think they'll finish last in this group. Serbia's on fire, scoring goals for fun in their prep matches. I'm tipping them to go through.

Group  F: Germany, Mexico, Sweden, South Korea

As with Brazil, the Germans won't be challenged, even as they've looked a bit ragged of late. Each of the other three sides could make a case. If Mexico can hold Germany to a draw in their opening match, they'll be a lock. Says here they can.

Group G: Belgium, Panama, England, Tunisia

England's been so bad in major competitions over the past several decades that their notoriously harsh media have gone easy on the Three Lions heading into this tournament. It pays off, as Gareth Southgate's boys ease into the knockout stages by finishing second to Belgium. England's opener against Tunisia is huge.

Group H: Poland, Senegal, Colombia, Japan

It's long past time for an African nation to make some real noise at a World Cup Final, and Senegal's at least going to have a chance. They'll finish second to Colombia in this group and grab the world's attention.

Round of 16

Uruguay over Portugal
France over Croatia
Brazil over Mexico
Belgium over Senegal
Spain over Egypt
Argentina over Peru
Germany over Serbia
Colombia over England

Quarterfinals

Uruguay over France
Belgium over Brazil
Argentina over Spain
Germany over Colombia

Semifinals

Belgium over Uruguay
Argentina over Germany

Finals

Belgium over Arg....Russia. Russia's gonna win. Russia wins everything. Forget all the rest.

And enjoy the footie.

Friday, November 24, 2017

20/18 Foresight

Depending on when you hunker down to read this, we're about 200 days from the kickoff of the 2018 World Cup. While many of us are still smarting from the U.S. Men's National Team's galling failure to qualify (and really, how did those fuckers manage to gack qualifying in what's objectively the easiest confederation in the world?), the rest of the planet is still planning to hold the event. And since it's going to happen regardless of how much we care about it, we decided that we'd make the best of it.

Most years, I'd move on from the U.S. to my second favorite footballing nation, the Netherlands. But the Dutch are in the midst of an identity crisis and fucked up their UEFA campaign from the jump, so they'll be joining Sam's Army (and Italy, Ireland, Ghana, the Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Chile, and several other traditionally strong sides) as spectators. So I need to find yet another team for which to root.

In the spirit of our exhaustive search for a new favorite NFL team, we bring you Gheorghe's definitive guide to determining your World Cup rooting interest. By 'your', we mean, 'my'.

Since there are 32 sides competing in Russia, and I don't have the stamina to write something pithy about each nation, the G:TB staff established a set of ground rules regarding the choice of a temporary favorite national side. To wit:

1. We can't root for a previous champion, because that feels bandwagony (so we send our regrets to Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, England, France, Germany, and Spain)
2. We definitely can't pull for countries actively trying to undermine the United States (fuck off, Russia, and Iran - and Trumpistan, for what it's worth)
3. We certainly cannot root in good conscience for countries that are home to Cristiano Ronaldo (Tchau, Portugal)
4. We don't feel good about rooting for countries we've never seen actually play soccer (apologies to you, Saudi Arabia, Morocco, and Serbia)
5. And finally, we won't be rooting for countries that don't have a single player on the roster with whom we're familiar (our bad, Japan and Tunisia)

As we're nothing if not rule followers, we're down to 17 national teams for whom we're willing to root. A couple more rules, maybe, to help us narrow it down. Guidelines, perhaps.

Since we want to root for a team that's got a reasonable chance to at least advance to the knockout stages, we're sad to say that Australia's probably not going to be our team. As fun as it is to say Socceroos, and as much personal affinity as we've got for the Land Down Under, they're just not going to advance. The same is true for our CONCACAF pals from Panama. (Seriously, we couldn't beat Panama in a 10-match qualifying tournament? Fuck us.) Peru are a great story, qualifying out of the brutal CONMEBOL death march for their first World Cup since 1982, but la Blanquirroja aren't going beyond the group stage. And South Korea's a modest 59th in the FIFA World Rankings, behind such minnows as Haiti and Jamaica. Little chance for them to advance and earn my love.

We should probably also take a stand as it relates to vaguely despotic regimes, so even though we celebrated Egypt's qualification and Mo Saleh is tearing the EPL up for my second-favorite English side, we really can't root for them.

Mexico are a tempting choice as our closest World Cup-playing neighbors. Our cultures are increasingly interwoven, and El Tri have a chance to make a decent run. But rooting for Mexico would be a little like rooting for Auburn. And I wouldn't root for Auburn against Russia.

Iceland are an awesome story, a country of 300,000 competing on the world's largest sporting stage. Their hardworking collection of interchangeable Somethingssons appeal to our sense of the underdog. But everyone's going to be in a hurry to back StrĂ¡karnir okkar (and to learn how to pronounce it), so we're going to reluctantly go a different direction.

There are a handful of other European countries that we like but can't really get fully behind for no particularly good reason. Croatia's uniforms might be the best in the competition. Poland features the sublime Robert Lewandoski. Sweden eliminated the Italians, and boasts Swedish women. Switzerland is a beautiful land, and Xherdan Shaqiri is my kind of diminutive footballer. Tottenham's Christian Eriksson cast aside a reputation for poor international play to drive Denmark to a place in Russia. But I can't get excited by any of those squads.

One of the best things I've ever seen at a live sporting event is the spontaneous joy of Cameroonian fans as they celebrated their team in an Olympic match against Canada in 1984. Nigerian and Senegalese backers will bring that same emotion and atmosphere next summer. I'll be pulling for both to advance. But they're not my top choices.

Colombia's got a bit of snakebitten World Cup history, to the point where their 1994 loss to the United States cost defender Carlos Escobar his life in a shooting upon his return home. And in James Rodriguez, Radamel Falcao, and Juan Cuadrado, they've got talent to burn. But I can't root for a team coached by a guy named Pekerman, can I?

Belgium may well be the best team in the tournament. They're lousy with top-flight talent, from Manchester United's Romelu Lukaku up top, to Eden Hazard, Marouane Fellaini, and Dries Mertens i the midfield, to Vincent Kompany, Jan Vertonghen, and Toby Alderweireld in the back and Thibaut Courtois in goal. Not to mention Kevin de Bruyne, who might be the best player in the world right now, non-Messi division. The Red Devils are my choice to win it all, and I'd be happy to see it.

Unless it came at Costa Rica's expense. Our CONCACAF rivals reached the quarterfinals in the 2014 World Cup, narrowly falling to the Netherlands in a penalty shootout. They thrashed the USMNT twice in the final round of qualifying, tallying a total of six goals while blanking us. They play a hard-nosed, fast-paced brand of soccer. In Real Madrid's Keylor Navas, they've got one of the world's best goalkeepers. Captain Bryan Ruiz made 97 appearances for Fulham before signing with Portuguese club Sporting CP. Their World Cup squad will feature a half-dozen MLS players. And Costa Rica is a beautiful place that's on our list of places to go for Spring Break, which is nice.

Vamos Los Ticos!

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Come On You Yanks

Just one short month ago - a far more innocent time - we took a break from holding our hands over our eyes and practicing nuclear blast defense drills to celebrate soccer's ability to render grown men weepy.

That was just a prelude to the events of the past few days.

As qualifying for the 2018 World Cup draws to a close, national sides both legendary and little-regarded have clinched their berths in the 32-team competition. Their fans have celebrated appropriately.

In Alexandria, Liverpool striker Mohammed Salah scored a pair of goals to send Egypt to Russia, the first time since 1990 that the Pharoahs qualified for the finals. The broadcaster was...happy (the first 1:48 or so will give you the gist).



Iceland became the smallest nation ever to qualify for the World Cup finals, defeating Kosovo by a 2-0 score to win its UEFA qualifying group. 300,000 nordic revelers will wake up tomorrow with the mother of all hangover, and it'll be okay.

Most of them were here:



And those that weren't celebrated Viking-style with the team.



Manchester United midfielder Nemanja Matic has played in his share of big games, but the Serbian was overcome by emotion after his country qualified for their first World Cup since 2010 with a 1-0 victory over Georgia.


And much, much closer to home, the U.S. Men's National team put aside weeks of panicked commentary and punditariat hand-wringing in a stirring display, drilling visiting Panama by a 4-0 score that probably could've been 7-0. Or 7-3, given the several defensive lapses the visitors failed to bank. Christian Pulisic opened the scoring with a bit of skill rarely seen by American players, then added an assist on the second goal. It's already reasonable to argue that Pulisic might be the best American ever to play the game.



The Americans play tonight in Port of Spain against Trinidad and Tobago. A win guarantees our ninth consecutive trip to the World Cup finals. Barring some epic goalscoring binges by Honduras and/or Panama, a tie will be good enough, too. A loss against cellar-dwelling T&T would be both unthinkable and disastrous. So we won't think about it.

Some of the biggest teams in the world still haven't done all the work, and find themselves in the same place as the USMNT. Portugal and Italy will have to win a qualifying playoff to book their tickets, while the Netherlands are all but out. Tonight, Lionel Messi and Argentina currently sit in sixth place in CONMEBOL qualifying, where four teams automatically go through, and the fifth gets to drub New Zealand for the pleasure. The Albiceleste are tied with Peru on 25 points, only three behind second place Uruguay. Paraguay is only one point back with 24 points. Six teams are legitimately in the mix for the final four places.

But at least they're not Wales. Needing a win over rivals Ireland to clinch at least a UEFA playoff spot, the Christian Bale-less Welsh yielded a second-half goal to James McClean to fall, 1-0, and extend its World Cup finals drought to 60 years. The Welsh fans opened the match with an amazing rendition of their national anthem.



But in soccer, as in life, there are winners and losers. Yesterday, the Welsh finished out of the money. Here's hoping (praying) that tonight tells a different story for the red, white, and blue.